The nation is gearing up for its first potential widespread severe weather event to take shape on Tuesday the 29th. As such, I am preparing for an early season chase. A quick look at SPC shows a very large risk for severe thunderstorms, especially across the lower MS river valley where a moderate risk is [...]
Currently I am [in horror] watching what looks to be a very active severe weather week take shape on the models. As it stands there could be great storm chase potential from Wednesday all the way through Sunday. The reason I watch in horror is I start a new job this week, so requesting time [...]
The forecast for storm initiation due to weak forcing is still the big issue with todays setup. Shear is there, and instability (albeit in a very narrow corridor) is also there. The big fly in the ointment continues to be the lack of any real appreciable forcing. There is not much of a wind shift [...]
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